New Report Confirms Antarctica Is Melting Away As We Watch, Faster Every Year

A new report from NASA and UC Irvine confirms—again—that Antarctica is melting away.

The scientists used observations from four different techniques to measure the amount and change in rate of ice loss from a region in West Antarctica. This area was already known to be melting at an astonishing rate; a recent study using Cryosat 2 showed that in the period from 2010 to 2013, the region was losing ice to the tune of 134 billion metric tons of ice per year.

The new study looked at four observation sets covering the years 1992 – 2013. They found that on average over that time, ice loss from West Antarctica was about 83 billion metric tons per year… but the average increase was 6.1 billion tons every year. By the end of the time range, the numbers between the new study and the one from CryoSat2 are consistent.

This is staggering. Staggering. Imagine a block of ice a mile wide, a mile long, and a mile high—the size of a mountain. That would weigh something less than 6 billion tons.

And that’s not the ice Antarctica is losing from that region, it’s the increase in the amount of loss. That means that if it lost 134 billion tons in 2013, this year that will be more like 140 billion tons. And 146 in 2015, and so on… assuming the increase is linear. There’s little reason to assume that’s the case as the Earth continues to warm.

Antarctica is melting.

And this isn’t some natural variation, it’s not sunspots, it’s not the Earth’s orbit changing. It’s us. These changes aren’t happening on geologic or astronomical timescales, they’re happening on human timescales. We’re dumping carbon dioxide into the air at an accelerated rate, and there’s now more CO₂ in the atmosphere than there has been for at 800,000 years. As my Slate colleague Eric Holthaus points out, the north pole is draining away as well. We’re melting at both poles^*.

For decades, we’ve played at geoengineering by accident. Now we know what we’re doing, and it’s time we stopped playing. The deniers may stick their fingers in their ears and ignore or distract or sow doubt about what’s going on around them, but the rest of us can hear what our planet is telling us quite well.

The science is in, the scientists agree, and the global thermometer keeps rising ever upwards. After all this time, maddeningly, we’re still at Step 1: Acknowledging the problem. It’s way past time we got past that and started doing something about it.

^* As always, don’t be fooled by people saying Antarctic sea ice is growing . Its growth is tiny, far smaller than what’s being lost, and sea ice comes and goes every season; the ice loss in West Antarctica is from glaciers on land, and won’t be coming back .

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